Special Guests

Robin Hanson

Economist & professor

Tarek Mansour

CEO of Kalshi

Nate Silver

Statistician, Author, & Founder of 538

Shayne Coplan

CEO of Polymarket

Katja Grace

Lead researcher at AI Impacts

Destiny

Streamer & political critic

Douglas Campbell

CEO of Insight Prediction

Cate Hall

CEO of Alvea

Rational Animations

Rationality Youtuber

Aella

Sex researcher & writer

Daniel Reeves

Cofounder of Beeminder

Byrne Hobart

Author of The Diff

Patrick Mckenzie

Writer & advisor to Stripe

Eliezer Yudkowsky

AI Researcher & Writer

Austin Chen

Cofounder of Manifold

Stephen Grugett

Cofounder of Manifold

Saul Munn

Cofounder of OPTIC

Emmett Shear

Interim Ex-CEO of OpenAI, Ex-Partner at Y Combinator, Cofounder of Twitch

Dylan Matthews

Head writer at Future Perfect, Vox

Ozzie Gooen

President of QURI; Founder of Guesstimate

Kevin Roose

Technology columnist at the New York Times

Jeremiah Johnson

Cofounder of the Center for New Liberalism

Richard Hanania

Writer & President of CSPI

Robert Miles

AI Safety researcher & Youtuber

Matthew Barnett

Staff researcher at EpochAI

Simone & Malcolm Collins

Founders of The Collins Institute & Pronatalist.org

Gavriel Kleinwaks

Strategic projects lead at 1DaySooner

Pratik Chougule

Exec. Director of the Coalition for Political Forecasting

Jonathan Anomaly

Professor

Zvi Mowshowitz

Writer & CEO of Balsa Research

Scott Alexander

Blogger & psychiatrist

David Chee

Product & marketing at Manifold; Streamer

James Grugett

Cofounder of Manifold

…and more!